New Poll Shows Pashinyan Strengthening as Armenia Heads Toward June 7 Elections

YEREVAN — A new nationwide voter survey conducted by the Armenian Election Study (ArmES) and published by EVN Report indicates that Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and his Civil Contract party have strengthened their position ahead of Armenia’s June 7 parliamentary elections, while the opposition remains fragmented and unable to consolidate support.

According to the poll, public approval of Pashinyan’s performance has steadily increased, rising from 36 percent in the first wave of the survey to 47.2% in the second poll, to 49% in the third poll, to 53% in the current results. At the same time, disapproval ratings have declined significantly. Public perceptions of the country’s direction have also improved, with more respondents now saying Armenia is moving in the right direction than in the wrong direction.

The survey found that Civil Contract continues to maintain a substantial lead over all competing political forces. While the ruling party remains the dominant political force, opposition parties remain deeply divided, with only one opposition bloc currently projected to comfortably surpass the parliamentary threshold. Several traditional opposition groups are polling below the level required to enter parliament.

Researchers noted that a large segment of the electorate remains undecided, but current trends suggest that many of those voters are more likely to support the incumbent party than opposition forces.

The findings come as Armenia approaches one of the most consequential elections in its modern history. The vote is widely viewed as a referendum on the country’s political and geopolitical direction, including its ongoing peace process with Azerbaijan, efforts to normalize relations with neighboring countries, and deepening ties with Western partners.

If current polling trends hold, Civil Contract is expected to emerge as the largest force in the next parliament, while opposition parties face growing pressure to overcome internal divisions and broaden their electoral appeal in the final days of the campaign.